Since 1996, luxury Realtor Danielle Short has devoted herself to serving the San Diego North County Coastal luxury real estate market in destinations ranging from Rancho Santa Fe to La Jolla for high-end clientele including celebrities and entrepreneurs. The two names you can trust, Danielle Short and Coldwell Banker. Danielle has over 25 years of sales and marketing experience, consistently winning national awards for her exemplary performance. Short sat down with Haute Residence to discuss her 5 housing predictions for San Diego:
1. This next year will be a good time to get top dollar for your home if you intend to sell.
A panel of experts state the economy will dip nationwide in 2020. That could affect San Diego home prices negatively, although no one believes values will drop as they did in 2008. Rather, they could just remain flat.
Home prices are expected to rise in 2019 at just more than 4 percent and local real estate gurus suggest many will start looking to purchasing home late in the year. That would make fall or winter of 2019 a good time to put your house on the market if you are considering selling.
2. Rents will go up.
This has been a trend in San Diego for a couple of years. Rent in the San Diego area is already some of the highest in the nation. Renters pay more than 40 percent of their income toward housing in four of the largest U.S markets, which includes San Diego.
This could affect single-family home purchasing in a couple of ways. Escalating rent could force people to move elsewhere. That could mean less competition for home purchases. It could also swing the opposite direction if rent becomes so expensive that renters feel it is better in both short-term and long-term finances to buy.
Right now, people are holding off on home purchases to see if prices have peaked but that is a gamble as home values are expected to go up again in 2019. That is expected to change dramatically in the last quarter of 2019 as renters move to purchase.
3. Millennials will represent a huge chunk of home buyers.
Predictions are millennials with new, higher-paid jobs will seize the opportunity at home purchases as home prices flatline or decrease in late 2019 and throughout 2020.
This will make for a highly competitive market, particularly with starter homes. If you are planning on entering the home market, you may want to start getting yourself and your finances together now rather than wait or you may find yourself paying higher prices to stay competitive for the house you want.
4. There will be more environmentally “green” homes at affordable prices available.
California will have new building code regulations, scheduled to start in 2020, mandating all new homes function to generate renewable energy. Also, they are all to be “net zero ready” where they generate as much or more energy than they use.
Another updating building codes mandate every new single-family homes and low-rise multi-family homes have solar panels on the roof. This is a plus for home buyers because these changes don't escalate the purchase cost tremendously, but to save you money in energy costs. Some utility companies even have generation programs where you sell your unused energy for a profit.
All this means there will be more affordable homes with lots of green features popping up in the San Diego landscape in 2019. That puts these types of homes within reach of many younger singles, couples, and families. There are several developers now planning and constructing communities implementing these new green rules. A Weston development is under construction in Santee now where all homes are green. Currently, 5.5 million California homes are solar powered.
5. More $1 million neighborhoods will be built.
There are eight such neighborhoods in San Diego now, putting it as a hot market for these type of communities. According to Zillow, 346 million-dollar communities have been built since 2014. The web site states a neighborhood is defined as a million-dollar neighborhood when more than 10 percent of its houses have a value of $1 million or more.
Some areas where these pricey neighborhoods can be found are Escondido, downtown San Diego, Carlsbad, Scripps Ranch, and Jamul. The median price for homes in these neighborhoods is around $700,000.
The expensive home trend is expected to continue in San Diego, as well as around the country, according to Zillow. These communities also have numerous amenities and offer privacy that upscale home buyers require.
Overall, San Diego will have options in both rental and homes for purchasing in 2019 as outmigration happens and more master communities are built. Options will include more high-end homes and homes on every level that implement green energy concepts. Middle-class and affordable homes will be competitive as more millennials enter the housing market to buy their first home.